Phenomenological Analysis of Obscured Events

	Chapter I	Tragedy at Mayerling
	Chapter II	Death of a Princess
	Chapter III	Malediction
	Chapter IV	The First Casualty of War
	Chapter V	Credibility of Foreign Informants
	Chapter VI	Confabulations of Nurse Nayirah
	Chapter VII	Jumana Hanna and Sara Solovitch
	Chapter VIII	Origins of the First World War
	Chapter IX	Ritual Slaughter
	Chapter X	Search for Implausible Narratives

 

The cardinal principle of warfare: Do not start a war unless you're assured of victory. World War I: Global view of the allies or colonies of the Great Britain (green) and that of the Central Powers (orange). World War II: Similar over-all configuration with Italy and Japan switching sides, Africa green, and, initially, South America and Turkey gray.

Origins of the First World War

Causes of this world conflagration are disputed in numerous publication with innumerable details given and continuing controversy whether this conflict was inevitable. With the perspective of about two centuries, it appears that the triumphant ideology of the Judeo-Christianism based in the United States and in the United Kingdom is predilected on the victories of England (and, later, of the United States) in the Napoleonic (1792-1815), First (1914-1918), Second (1939-1945), and Cold (1948-1989) Wars. The common denominator of the Napoleonic and both World Wars was the coalition of England and Russia against continental powers, where England, after winning the war, expanded its sphere of influence, fractionated Europe, and marginalized and finally (at the end of the Cold War) partitioned Russia. At the beginning of these years of conquest the British Empire spanned the globe. It later mutated into the British-American hegemony, coalesced by common ideology, and aspiring at world domination. Predominantly, wars are initiated when the aggressor, motivated by the expected gains in treasure, territory and power,  is assured of victory. Victorious powers typically ascribe the initiation of war to the defeated, using an elaborate complex of pseudo-reasons for deflecting the blame for the misery of war and the sacrifice of (often millions) of  human lives.

Before the First World War, the German and Austrian Empires were the industrial and intellectual center of the world. While in the previous two centuries most products and ideas originated in England and France, the ideas that defined the modern world came from the Austrian and German Empires. Physics was taught in Prague by Albert Einstein, modern socialism was conceived by Karl Marx, and the rockets heading toward the moon were launched by the ideas of Wernher von Braun.

 

The Napoleonic Wars transferred the center of the Western world from France to England. The gradual movement of the center of the Western world to the Austrian and German Empires was reversed by the First and the Second World War, more or less only the last battle of the first one.

Initial Attempt of Great Britain to Ignite World War  Initial attempt of the Great Britain to ignite the world war was in 1913.  Grigorii Rasputin was resolutely anti-war and his influence on  the Nicholas II was considerable. At that time,  during a prolonged audience with the Czar, Rasputin averted Russia's entry to the war.

Assassination at Sarajevo, Serbia  The First World War was ignited by the assassination, on June 28, 1914, of the heir-apparent of the Austrian Empire Francis Ferdinand by a member of the Serbian terrorist organization Black Hand, Gavrilo Princip. The Black Hand was headed by Dragutin Dimitrjevic, the chief of the Serbian Intelligence Service, reporting to the Prime Minister of Serbia Nicola Pasitch. In 1903 Pasitch established diplomatic relations with the United Kingdom and, according to Dragnic, in 1914 told the Russian ambassador that Austria will attack Serbia before the assassination of Francis Ferdinand by Gavrilo Princip. 

Grigorii Rasputin (1869-1916). Contemporary image.

Attempted Assassination at Pokrovskoe, Siberia  On June 28, 1914, in Siberia, the same day Princip assassinated Francis Ferdinand, Chionya Gusyeva attempted to assassinate Grigorii Rasputin. Rasputin survived, but during his reconvalescence, which spanned the critical days when the Russia's entry to the First World War was decided, was not able to travel. Afterwards Rasputin maintained that, had he been able to see the Czar in person, he could have kept Russia out of the war.

Several days before the Rasputin's attempted assassination, Rasputin's daughter Maria, traveling from Moscow to visit her father at Pokrovskoe, was befriended by a Jewish journalist Davidson. Davidson claimed that he is her secret admirer, and followed her to Pokrovskoe. Shortly after the attempted assassination, Davidson tried to obtain the inside information about the condition of Maria's father. Maria Rasputin later claimed that Davidson had a foreknowledge of the assassination.

Why the War?  While there are innumerable accounts of the course of the World War I, the question why the war is seldom asked. The standard explanation is that the assassination of the Francis Ferdinand at Sarajevo by Gavrilo Princip started the war. Pierre Gilliard (1921) in his book Thirteen years at the Russian Court maintains that

A. J. P. Taylor(1966) in his book From Sarajevo to Potsdam says that this

and asks did Germany's rulers deliberately launch a European war? He writes that

Most of the mainstream narratives of these events describe in lurid details the eccentric behavior and sexual escapades of Gregory Rasputin while excusing the true obscenity: the Nicholas II decision to wage war resulting in deaths of millions of people. In the ultimate analysis, that war was not in the best interest of Russia, but in the best interest of Great Britain's quest for world domination.

 Notes

The accepted version of Rasputin's death states that he was poisoned, then shot, and finally drowned in the River Neva by five disaffected aristocrats, led by Prince Felix Yusupov. The conspirators were said to be concerned about Rasputin's influence on Tsar Nicholas II, and his wife Tsarina Alexandra. A recent BBC documentary, Who Killed Rasputin? reopened investigation into Rasputin's death and found conclusive evidence that Rasputin was murdered in St Petersburg in 1916 by the British Secret Service operative Oswald Rayner. The reexamination of the the original autopsy reports by forensic experts found that the original explanation for Rasputin's death did not tally with the forensic evidence. Recently uncovered document of the British Intelligence states that Oswald Rayner was a British Secret Intelligence Service operative who was working alongside senior SIS officer, John Scale. This document supports the narrative of Scale's daughter. Rasputin was a seen a threat to the British; had he persuaded the Tsar to pull out of the First World War, the Allies would have been overwhelmed on the Western Front by German troops no longer needed to fight the Russians in the East.

References

Gilliard, P. (1921) Thirteen years at the Russian Court. New York: Doran Co.
Taylor, A. J. P. (1966) From Sarajevo to Potsdam. New York: Harcourt.